Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1268.596643 1439.650810 1628.906599 1854.457136 2116.751196 2413.112828 2774.667224
2025-10-19 1007.945365 1234.967111 1509.411007 1868.276887 2329.049821 2906.045730 3691.536338
2025-10-26 863.238135 1112.650679 1432.543993 1878.170139 2491.222185 3317.260923 4535.618837
2025-11-02 777.838901 1044.591937 1403.658678 1930.802886 2699.405669 3802.130457 5546.617979
2025-11-09 707.262523 983.160119 1370.028649 1964.117580 2875.200106 4256.731195 6584.103593
2025-11-16 647.951559 928.181533 1335.440369 1986.252027 3030.527327 4695.632557 7668.221603
2025-11-23 599.024398 881.508671 1305.491412 2008.031373 3183.215606 5146.788602 8849.639844
2025-11-30 561.233665 846.733240 1288.279714 2045.236632 3362.407423 5664.176101 10242.356642
2025-12-07 509.312228 784.292801 1220.220165 1988.994287 3371.778449 5881.891910 11108.337920
2025-12-14 464.232306 728.326571 1156.567924 1931.720163 3369.489518 6074.040520 11954.902049
2025-12-21 423.079638 675.022518 1092.006941 1864.915741 3339.539688 6206.388309 12698.333120
2025-12-28 409.579849 666.584992 1102.383223 1933.357189 3573.417657 6891.910162 14790.126710
2026-01-04 389.777439 646.229297 1091.085017 1962.312768 3738.214839 7472.319872 16801.062491
2026-01-11 369.407408 623.199883 1072.959602 1976.389876 3875.563651 8019.511400 18873.495269
2026-01-18 350.562155 601.180372 1054.389950 1986.968398 4006.212040 8572.868328 21100.994109
2026-01-25 339.249050 591.828354 1058.374085 2043.135582 4243.414614 9414.487145 24332.672607
2026-02-01 326.286512 578.259050 1052.890193 2078.695849 4439.112140 10191.764050 27606.390796
2026-02-08 312.987974 562.933351 1042.482290 2102.325578 4610.254370 10939.157398 31015.228599
2026-02-15 300.675423 548.507280 1032.501630 2125.578785 4783.736947 11725.780844 34796.407726
2026-02-22 290.904997 538.277647 1030.059778 2165.307638 5003.822876 12682.548496 39466.643589
2026-03-01 272.371985 509.223193 986.249631 2105.253274 4961.099388 12891.512870 41577.545884
2026-03-08 255.212771 481.805019 943.795375 2044.114631 4907.553397 13060.640896 43605.713315
2026-03-15 238.463145 454.169044 898.884069 1972.825449 4817.952572 13107.877700 45195.098311